My votes going to lancer as there are more situations and scenarios in which he wins, if Jotaro doesn't finish the fight as quickly as possible, then he's getting dura negged by an un-dodgeable spike, or is getting danmaku'ed off the start by nearly omnidirectional stakes, if he doesn't lead with timestop, same result, his only wincon other than a rage amp is him opening with a timestop before Lancer can launch a spike danmaku, and finishing him within the duration of the timestop
Additionally, Vlad's main ability that he has access to, can outrange Jotaro as it's an ability rather than innate range, his ability allows him to designate an area as his domain, from which he can attack anywhere in that domain, to which he could designate the entire void